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October 2011 (201110) DynaPred Seasonal Model Predictions are presented here as opened GIF files; JPG, other files available upon request. For two months after release also directly downloadable under What's New ).  Temperature is presented first, then precipitation, each followed by narrative description.  The Press Release follows with selectable text classifying US states into Above Average, Near Average, or Below Average.  Several states are descriptively subdivided as pattern contrasts suggest.  Interested in future months or additional detail? Product Sales information is available at Home or Services pages.  More detailed examples, including site specific or regional (Oregon Coastal Precipitation), are in Predictions.

temp212_201110R1-32

201110 temperatures predict Above Average east of the Mississippi River and southern Great Plains. Northern Great Plains predict Below Average with parts of West Coast. Remainder of central Plains and West predict spotty warm and tend Above Average. 

 

prec212_201110R1-16

October 2011 precipitation predicts wet along the West Coast and PNW and then peninsular Florida.  High Average to Above Average precipitation predict for the Northeast into New England. Dryness predicts to continue in the Great Plains, Southern Rockies, the South. Mainly average with spotty dryness predicts across rest of East.

 

Press Release: Dynamic Predictables 201110 OUTLOOK issued 3 PM CDT 20110913

Dynamic Predictables releases for pubic use their Atlas First Stage predictions for 30-day mean temperature and cumulative precipitation on the Tuesday prior to the third Thursday of each preceding month. Graphics with pattern and trend information for the United States NCDC climate divisions can be viewed at: http://www.dynamicpredictables.com

201110 temperatures predict Above Average east of the Mississippi River and southern Great Plains. Northern Great Plains predict Below Average with parts of West Coast. Remainder of central Plains and West predict spotty warm and tend Above Average. 

October 2011 precipitation predicts wet along the West Coast and PNW and then peninsular Florida.  High Average to Above Average precipitation predict for the Northeast into New England. Dryness predicts to continue in the Great Plains, Southern Rockies, the South. Mainly average with spotty dryness predicts across rest of East.

** All areas have a prediction. There is no default to climatology (EC), i.e. an equal likelihood of ABOVE AVERAGE, NEAR AVERAGE, and BELOW AVERAGE.**

DYNAPRED 1STSTAGE (SEASONAL) MODEL OCTOBER 201110

ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP        

WA    C   W    OR W  C   W    OR E  A   W         

CA CO A   A    CA IN C   W    ID    A   W         

NV    A   A    MT    A   A    AZ    A   D         

WY    A   A    UT    A   D    CO    W   D         

NM    A   D    ND    C   D    SD    C   D         

NE    A   D    KS    A   D                        

OK    W   D    TX    W   D    MN    A   A         

IA    A   D    MO    A   A    AR    W   D         

LA    W   D    WI    A   A    IL    W   A         

MS    W   D    OH    W   D    KY    W   A         

MI    W   A    IN    W   A                        

TN    W   A    AL    W   A    NY    W   W         

VT    W   W    NH    W   W    ME    W   A         

MA    W   A    CT    W   W    RI    W   A         

PA    W   A    NJ    W   W                        

WV    W   A    MD    W   W    DE    W   W         

VA    W   A    NC    W   A    SC    W   D         

GA    W   D    FL    A   W                        

                 LEGEND                  
  TEMP TO NORMAL         PCPN   TO MEDIAN       
  W -ABOVE (WARM)        W – ABOVE (WET)      
  A –NEAR AVERAGE        A – NEAR AVERAGE     
  C -BELOW (COOL)        D – BELOW (DRY)        
Contact:   GREGG SUHLER at 1-573-815-0520 or
SUHLERG@DYNAPRED.COM
or AL PETERLIN  at 1-717-731-8804 and
Al.Peterlin@dynapred.com.

November 201111 Temperature and Precipitation Atlas First-Stage Predictions will be released on Tuesday October 18, 2011 at 3PM CDT (2000GMT).

 

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