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May 2011 (201105) DynaPred Seasonal Model Predictions are presented here as opened GIF files; JPG, other files available upon request. For two months after release also directly downloadable under What's New ).  Temperature is presented first, then precipitation, each followed by narrative description.  The Press Release follows with selectable text classifying US states into Above Average, Near Average, or Below Average.  Several states are descriptively subdivided as pattern contrasts suggest.  Interested in future months or additional detail? Product Sales information is available at Home or Services pages.  More detailed examples, including site specific or regional (Oregon Coastal Precipitation), are in Predictions.

temp212_201105R1-32

May 2011 temperatures will be cooler than usual from Great Plains west. Eastward of the Plains temperatures will be near seasonal average with exception of along the Appalachian Mountains predicting warmer. 

prec212_201105R1-16

May 2011 precipitation predicts average to above in upper Great Plains extending across Great Lakes and then also the south-central Great Plains. Otherwise precipitation predicts near average east of the Rockies and west of the Appalachians.  West of the Rockies and especially the southwest predict dry.  East of Appalachians predicts dry north and average to wet south of the Mason-Dixon line.

Press Release: Dynamic Predictables 201105 OUTLOOK issued 3 PM CDT 20110419

Dynamic Predictables releases for pubic use their Atlas First Stage predictions for 30-day mean temperature and cumulative precipitation on the Tuesday prior to the third Thursday of each preceding month. Graphics with pattern and trend information for the United States NCDC climate divisions can be viewed at: http://www.dynamicpredictables.com

May 2011 temperatures will be cooler than usual from Great Plains west. Eastward of the Plains temperatures will be near seasonal average with exception of along the Appalachian Mountains predicting warmer. 

May 2011 precipitation predicts average to above in upper Great Plains extending across Great Lakes and then also the south-central Great Plains. Otherwise precipitation predicts near average east of the Rockies and west of the Appalachians.  West of the Rockies and especially the southwest predict dry.  East of Appalachians predicts dry north and average to wet south of the Mason-Dixon line.

** All areas have a prediction. There is no default to climatology (EC), i.e. an equal likelihood of ABOVE AVERAGE, NEAR AVERAGE, and BELOW AVERAGE.**

DYNAPRED 1ST STAGE (SEASONAL) MODEL MAy 201105

ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP        

WA    C   D    OR    A   D    CA N  A   D         

CA S  C   D    ID    C   A                        

NV    C   D    MT    C   A    AZ    A   D         

WY    C   A    UT    C   A    CO    C   D         

NM    A   D    ND    C   W    SD    C   A         

NE    C   A    KS    C   W                        

OK    A   A    TX    A   A    MN    C   W         

IA    C   A    MO    A   W    AR    A   A         

LA    A   A    WI    C   W    IL    A   W         

MS    A   A    OH    W   A    KY    W   A         

MI    A   W    IN    A   A                        

TN    A   A    AL    A   A    NY    A   D         

VT    A   D    NH    A   D    ME    A   D         

MA    A   D    CT    A   D    RI    A   D         

PA    A   D    NJ    A   D                        

WV    W   A    MD    A   D    DE    A   D         

VA    W   D    NC    W   A    SC    W   A         

GA    A   W    FL    A   W                        

                 LEGEND                  
  TEMP TO NORMAL         PCPN   TO MEDIAN       
  W -ABOVE (WARM)        W – ABOVE (WET)      
  A –NEAR AVERAGE        A – NEAR AVERAGE     
  C -BELOW (COOL)        D – BELOW (DRY)        
Contact:   GREGG SUHLER at 1-573-815-0520 or
SUHLERG@DYNAPRED.COM
or AL PETERLIN  at 1-717-731-8804. or
Al.Peterlin@dynapred.com.

June 2011 Temperature and Precipitation Atlas First-Stage Predictions will be released on Tuesday May 17, 2011 at 3PM CDT (2000GMT).

 

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