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	Dynamic Predictables LLC, Columbia, MO 65205-1365, USA dynapred@dynapred.com t/f +1.573.815.0520 multi-year, site-specific and regional climate prediction

DynaPred's ATLAS product line is introduced on its own ATLAS page or on navigation bars.

Welcome to the Dynamic Predictables website. This DP Home page introduces key Dynamic Predictables features and products then provides further links highlighting our climate prediction at monthly time step both regional and site specific. Al Peterlin's Pre-USDA/NASS crop report commentary is located on the What's New navigational link. A few noted presentations with linkages are mentioned, thumbnail maps of the ATLAS month ahead US mainland prediction follows, a monthly featured chart, then more...

Dynamic Predictables elsewhere:
20081212. Business Profile in Columbia Business Times on October 17, 2008, entitled (click on) "Dynamic Principles"
20060304. Gregg Suhler addresses National Farmers Union Annual Convention in Denver Colorado on climate predictability and agriculture. Downloadable PPT file is DPatNFU20060304 (603kb) and NFU's website is http://www.nfu.org .
20060217. Doug O'Brien and Gregg Suhler at American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 2006 Annual Meeting in St Louis speak on "Nino3 Intradecadal Predictability: Regional and Site Specific Implications". Suhler organized the Symposium "El Nino Predictability". http://www.aaas.org

This Month's First Stage Predictions Temperature and Precipitation as released one month ahead per schedule at page bottom. Latest month ahead prediction are down-loadable or larger, under What's New or Seasonal (...yyyymm) with Press Release including narrative interpretation and state precipitation and temperature table.

June 2009 temperatures will be near seasonal average except for milder than usual temperatures from the Cascades to the northern Rockies.

June 2009 precipitation will be near seasonal average except for some pockets of dryness in the Pacific Northwest and heavy moisture from the Southern Rockies to Great Salt Lake and west and Carolina Coastal Plains.

July 2009 temperatures will be seasonal for much of the nation. There could be some warmth from Maine into coastal New England and along the inland Pacific Northwest.

July 2009 precipitation will be heavier than usual from west Central California across Nevada to the Colorado border. Spotty, more localized heavy precipitation is possible from New Mexico to Louisiana. The coastal Southeast and Florida will also be wetter than typical. Northern California and the Northwest including Idaho and eastern Montana will be drier than usual. Near seasonal average predicted elsewhere.

Monthly Featured Chart: A performance evaluation of DP 1st Stage Model Accuracy as detailed under Performance . Predictions starting 200302 were made in 200301 with data ending 200212 and continuing through present for 6 plus years. Breakeven is the green line at 1/3 and 78% of the temperature and precipitation scored points are above that green line. Mapped prediction were first presented in 2002 at professional (AASC Annual) and scientific (AGU Fall) meetings.

NINO3 (90W-150W, 5N-5S) SST Anomaly Prediction was made with data through 199804. This chart shows the average of long term and nearby dynamics. Other components are active contributors. See the 5 line chart for 2002-06 in Predictions/El Nino and below as displayed on website mid-2005 through 2006. Achieved accuracy for given modes was on order of 0.02C Average Error and 0.20C Average Absolute Error for two consecutive 15 month periods. Observed NINO3 through 200707 showed similar accuracy to the shown immediately below 200210-200503 period. 2007 and beyond additional details was available to customers.


	Website last updated 20090706

... a continuing "Welcome!" to the Dynamic Predictables website

Commercially usable predictions: Climate knowledge that can work for you.
Contact us at +1-573-815-0520 (fax or phone) or at info@dynapred.com
What's New: See Press Release for more...

Who are we? About ... People, Methods, InTheNews with photos...
How good are the predictions? 1st Stage Model Results Comparison, see Performance . . .

PRODUCT SALES: Sales are based upon two products. The DynaPred 1st Stage Model product provides the big picture in trends, pattern and amplitude. The DynaPred Detailed product provides more detail in addition to the 1st Stage (or Seasonal ) product. Both are available spatially from site-specific to regional aggregations. Custom products are available to meet your needs.
Call for details +1-573-815-0520.

Seasonal Predictions: Monthly forward US 344 climate divisions 12-24-36 months temperature and precipitation single-use graphic hardcopy: Call for prices.

Expert Interpretation: 4 individual telephone consultations during the 12 months for an additional $100 (soybeans, corn, wheat, cotton, or grain sorghum). Consultation provided by Al Peterlin, former Chief Meteorologist at USDA's Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF/NOAA-USDA).
During US crop season, catch DynaPred's Pre-NASS crop condition report commentary by 0800 Central Mondays under What's New .

Testimonial from a 1st Stage Model and consultation user:
"Best planning tool for weather a farmer can have!
Useful for fieldwork windows, especially in the spring!
Also good for variety selection - matching to the season.
I like the personal updates the best - the availability to call
to get specific questions answered as the season progresses.
Your record the past 3 years has been outstanding!!"
Belleville, Illinois December 2005

Testimony from May 2009
"Unmatched accuracy in intermediate and long range
weather forecasting since we started in 2003.
Useful in our operation's planning and production for grains
and then for planning marketing and purchases. On the money!"

FREE Predictions: DynaPred's 1st Stage aka Seasonal current (June 200906, July 200907) graphs are 6-11 inches below top of this DP Home page). The What's New tabbed page has these 1st Stage downloadable files and Press Release beginning 12 inches down from page top... Left click navigational tabs or red underlined Seasonal link to view graphics directly on site without downloading a file. Other examples (NINO3, Georgia in Archives, new 20030417 Oregon , new 20070213 Florida, new 20090317 site-specific precipitation Sherwood, North Dakota USA) are also under Predictions or click the underlined, bolded link to go directly to graphics. Descriptive text is then available via the navigation bar above the graphics. Contact us for commercially available product details: months farther ahead, quantified predictions that underlay the graphics, more Detailed predictions, locations available. . .

Dynamic Predictables: The Future of Climate

OUR MISSION

Our mission is to improve foresight capability of decision makers by providing usable predictions
far enough in advance to make a positive difference.

COMPANY PROFILE

Dynamic Predictables is a Limited Liability Company registered in the State of Missouri in 1998. Founding members are Douglas P. O'Brien and Gregg Suhler. Our first area of business is making climate predictions. We are also integrating climate predictions with agriculture, energy, and other related businesses and sciences.

At DynaPred, our services to you are prepared by people experienced and seasoned in geophysics, agro-meteorology, and the agricultural sciences, among others.

RELEASES: Under What's New on Navigation Bar: Latest (200907) downloadable GIF files. Also under Predictions. . . Seasonal with accompanying text. Next Scheduled Release showing August 2009 is scheduled Tuesday July 14, 2009 at 3PM CDT (2000 GMT).

DynaPred Public Release Schedule for CY 2009 subject to change
Product (yyyymm) Release Time Date

Seasonal(1stStage) 200901

1500CST (2100UT) 20081216

Seasonal(1stStage) 200902

1500CST (2100UT) 20090113

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200903

1500CST (2100UT) 20090217

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200904

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090317

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200905

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090414

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200906

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090519

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200907

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090616

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200908

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090714

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200909

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090818

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200910

1500CDT (2000UT) 20090915

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200911

1500CDT (2000UT) 20091013

Seasonal(1st Stage) 200912

1500CST (2100UT) 20091117

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201001

1500CST (2100UT) 20091215

CONTACT: Gregg Suhler

Telephone: +1(573) 815-0520 e-mail suhlerg@dynapred.com

Business address: P. O. Box 1365, Columbia, Missouri (MO) 65205-1365 USA

Electronic mail
General Information: info@dynapred.com
Customer Support: support@dynapred.com

website last updated July 06, 2009


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