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	Dynamic Predictables LLC, Columbia, MO 65205-1365, USA dynapred@dynapred.com t/f +1.573.815.0520 multi-year, site-specific and regional climate prediction

DynaPred's ATLAS 1-5 year product line is introduced on its own ATLAS page or on navigation bars. Downloadable Atlas PDFs (internal link) or at bottom of the ATLAS page.

Welcome to the Dynamic Predictables website. This DP Home page introduces key Dynamic Predictables features and products then provides further links highlighting our climate prediction at monthly time step both regional and site specific. Al Peterlin's Pre-USDA/NASS crop report commentary is located on the What's New navigational link. A few noted presentations with linkages are mentioned, thumbnail maps of the ATLAS month ahead US mainland prediction follows, a monthly featured chart, then more...

Dynamic Predictables elsewhere:
20100215. "A Decade of Change?", by Professor Anthony R Lupo on http://www.icecap.us used DynaPred research and 2**N forced system response to contrast the past decade as seen through a long term equilibrium approach with the nonequilibrium dynamics approach DynaPred uses. A binary subharmonic time series linear combination of 8, 64, 256 years is contrasted with the UK(CRU-HADLEY),NOAA/NCDC,NASA/GISS Global Temperature Series charts from mid, late 1800s through late 2000s. See for yourself on the icecap website, search for Lupo, or download the corresponding file here. Natural dynamics, anyone?

20081212. Business Profile in Columbia Business Times on October 17, 2008, entitled (click on) "Dynamic Principles"

20071204. Gregg Suhler talk at Japan government agency METI/RIETI Brown Bag Lunch
"Climate Change: Implications, Consequences and Predictability - Plus Politics"
Handouts [PDF:232KB] http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/07120401.pdf
Transcript http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/07120401.html talk with open discussion

20060304. Gregg Suhler addresses National Farmers Union Annual Convention in Denver Colorado on climate predictability and agriculture. Downloadable PPT file is DPatNFU20060304 (603kb) and NFU's website is http://www.nfu.org .

20060217. Doug O'Brien and Gregg Suhler at American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 2006 Annual Meeting in St Louis speak on "Nino3 Intradecadal Predictability: Regional and Site Specific Implications". Suhler organized the Symposium "El Nino Predictability" searchable http://www.aaas.org See comment, link to abbreviated PPT What's New 20100215.

This Month's First Stage Predictions Temperature and Precipitation as released one month ahead per schedule at page bottom. Latest month ahead prediction are down-loadable or larger, under What's New or Seasonal (...yyyymm) with Press Release including narrative interpretation and state precipitation and temperature table.

August 2010 temperatures will be near average for much of the nation. Expect cooler than usual in a large swath from the far Southwest up and across to New England.
August 2010 precipitation will be wetter in the lower Mississippi Valley eastward to Georgia and northward into the Ohio valley. Also wetter in Central and Southern Plains. Rockies west will be dry.

September 2010 temperatures predict warm for much of the nation east of the Rockies although the Southeast show near seasonal average. Areas west of the Rockies also show seasonal.
September 2010 precipitation predicts to be near average for much of the nation with scattered wet spots in Great Plains and upper Midwest. The Southwest predicts dry, as do portions of the Mid-Atlantic States beginning with Maryland and Virginia.

Monthly Featured Chart: Retirement: DynaPred's first published chart as presented at AASC1998 Annual Meeting in Duluth, Minnesota, was presented and evaluated through 140 months (11.67 years) from 199805-200912. As noted a computation error was discovered and corrected in 2003 after 5 years. Note:
1. The Observed Anomaly Standard Deviation over the 140 months was 0.71 C. AvAbsErr was 0.76C.
2. First 4 years were good, second four years not-so-good, last 3.67 years were good.
3. : Beginning with year 5 although amplitudes were often problematic, the max/min turning percentage topped 75%.

NINO3 (90W-150W, 5N-5S) SST Anomaly Prediction was made with data through 199804. This chart shows the average of long term and nearby dynamics. Other components are active contributors. See the 5 line chart for 2002-06 in Predictions/El Nino and below as displayed on website mid-2005 through 2006. Achieved accuracy for given modes was on order of 0.02C Average Error and 0.20C Average Absolute Error for two consecutive 15 month periods. Observed NINO3 through 200707 showed similar accuracy to the shown immediately below 200210-200503 period. 2007 and beyond additional details was available to customers.


	Website last updated 20100907

... a continuing "Welcome!" to the Dynamic Predictables website

Commercially usable predictions: Climate knowledge that can work for you.
Contact us at +1-573-815-0520 (fax or phone) or at info@dynapred.com
What's New: See Press Release for more...

Who are we? About ... People, Methods, InTheNews with photos...
How good are the predictions? 1st Stage Model Results Comparison, see Performance . . .

PRODUCT SALES: Sales are based upon two prediction products. The DynaPred Atlas 1st Stage Model provides the big picture in trends, pattern and amplitude. The DynaPred Atlas Detailed Model product provides additional detail to that of the 1st Stage (or Seasonal ) product. Both are available spatially from site-specific to regional aggregations. Custom products are available to meet your needs.
Call for details +1-573-815-0520.

Seasonal Predictions: Monthly forward US 344 climate divisions 12-24-36 months temperature and precipitation single-use graphic hardcopy: Call for prices.

Expert Interpretation: 4 individual telephone consultations during the 12 months for an additional $100 (soybeans, corn, wheat, cotton, or grain sorghum). Consultation provided by Al Peterlin, former Chief Meteorologist at USDA's Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF/NOAA-USDA).
During US crop season, catch DynaPred's Pre-NASS crop condition report commentary by 0800 Central Mondays under What's New .

Testimonial from a 1st Stage Model and consultation user:
"Best planning tool for weather a farmer can have!
Useful for fieldwork windows, especially in the spring!
Also good for variety selection - matching to the season.
I like the personal updates the best - the availability to call
to get specific questions answered as the season progresses.
Your record the past 3 years has been outstanding!!"
Belleville, Illinois December 2005

Testimony from May 2009
"Unmatched accuracy in intermediate and long range
weather forecasting since we started in 2003.
Useful in our operation's planning and production for grains
and then for planning marketing and purchases. On the money!"

FREE Predictions: DynaPred's Atlas product 1st Stage aka Seasonal current (August 201008, July 201007) graphs are 10-17 inches below top of this DP Home page). The What's New tabbed page has these 1st Stage downloadable files and Press Release beginning 12 inches down from page top... Left click navigational tabs or red underlined Seasonal link to view graphics directly on site without downloading a file. Other examples (NINO3, Georgia in Archives, new 20030417 Oregon , new 20070213 Florida, new 20090317 site-specific precipitation Sherwood, North Dakota USA) are also under Predictions or click the underlined, bolded link to go directly to graphics. Descriptive text is then available via the navigation bar above the graphics. Contact us for commercially available product details: months farther ahead, quantified predictions that underlay the graphics, more Detailed predictions, locations available. . .

Dynamic Predictables: The Future of Climate

OUR MISSION

Our mission is to improve foresight capability of decision makers by providing usable predictions
far enough in advance to make a positive difference.

COMPANY PROFILE

Dynamic Predictables is a Limited Liability Company registered in the State of Missouri in 1998. Founding members are Douglas P. O'Brien and Gregg Suhler. Our first area of business is making climate predictions. We are also integrating climate predictions with agriculture, energy, and other related businesses and sciences.

At DynaPred, our services to you are prepared by people experienced and seasoned in geophysics, agro-meteorology, and the agricultural sciences, among others.

RELEASES: Under What's New on Navigation Bar: Latest (201009) downloadable GIF files. Also under Predictions. . . Seasonal with accompanying text. Next Scheduled Release showing October 2010 is scheduled Tuesday September 14, 2010 at 3PM CDT (2000 GMT).

DynaPred Atlas First Stage (Seasonal) Prediction Public Release Schedule for CY 2010 subject to change
Product (yyyymm) Release Time Date

Seasonal(1stStage) 201001

1500CST (2100UT) 20091215

Seasonal(1stStage) 201002

1500CST (2100UT) 20100119

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201003

1500CST (2100UT) 20100216

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201004

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100316

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201005

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100413

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201006

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100518

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201007

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100615

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201008

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100713

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201009

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100817

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201001

1500CDT (2000UT) 20100914

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201011

1500CDT (2000UT) 20101019

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201012

1500CST (2100UT) 20101117

Seasonal(1st Stage) 201101

1500CST (2100UT) 20101214

CONTACT: Gregg Suhler

Telephone: +1(573) 815-0520 e-mail suhlerg@dynapred.com

Business address: P. O. Box 1365, Columbia, Missouri (MO) 65205-1365 USA

Electronic mail
General Information: info@dynapred.com
Customer Support: support@dynapred.com

website last updated September 07, 2010


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